B-
63%
Total crime NAT. AVG.
34%
Violent crime NAT. AVG.
82%
Property crime NAT. AVG.
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Date & Last Updated: This data reflects the 2022 calendar year and was released from the FBI in September, 2023; this is the most current data available.
StatisticReportedincidents/100k peopleNogales/100k peopleArizona/100k peopleNational/100k people
Total crime749n/a (estimate)3,7972,4892,324
Murder1n/a5.16.86.3
Rape0n/a0.044.140.0
Robbery1n/a5.170.166.1
Assault46n/a233.2310.5268.2
Violent crime48n/a (estimate)243432370
Burglary95n/a481.6271.0269.8
Theft409n/a2,073.51,542.41,401.9
Vehicle theft197n/a998.7244.2282.7
Property crime701n/a (estimate)3,5542,0581,954

An Overview of Crime Rates in Nogales, AZ

When we analyze the latest crime report, the Nogales crime rate is 63.4% higher than the national average. These incidents are classified into two primary categories: violent and property crimes. Violent crimes include assault, robbery, rape and murder. Whereas property crimes encompass theft, vehicle theft and burglary. In the case of Nogales, there were 48 reported violent crimes, equivalent to 243 per 100,000 individuals, 34.2% lower than the national average. Additionally, Nogales recorded 701 property crimes, amounting to 3554 per 100,000 residents, 81.8% higher than the U.S. average.

With a property crime rate of 3554 crimes per 100,000 people, Nogales unfortunately has the distinction of being among the bottom 10% of all U.S. cities reporting crime. The likelihood of falling victim to property crime in Nogales is alarmingly high, estimated at 1 in 29, significantly surpassing the national average. This data emphasizes the city's pressing need for concerted efforts to address and reduce property crime, ensuring a safer environment for its residents.

Recently, vehicle thefts have seen an upward trend across the United States, and Nogales ranks among the cities with the highest vehicle theft rates in the country. Last year, there were 197 vehicle thefts, amounting to 999 stolen vehicles per 100,000 residents. This places Nogales within the worst 10% of all cities, indicating that 90% of cities fare better in terms of vehicle theft rates. The likelihood of your vehicle being stolen stands at 1 in 101.

What Do the Locals Say About Crime in Nogales?

AreaVibes conducted surveys inquiring about the safety perception of Nogales residents. Out of the respondents (28 in total), 61% expressed a strong sense of security, believing that crime rates in Nogales were low, and they felt comfortable walking alone at night. Conversely, 39% held a contrasting viewpoint, expressing concerns about safety in the area and feeling uncomfortable walking alone during the nighttime hours.

Is Nogales a Safe Place to Live?

To determine if Nogales is a safe place to live, let's take a look at the overall crime rate of the area, as well as the number of daily crimes. Nogales has a total crime rate that is 63% higher than the national average per 100,000 residents. This results in a total of 2.05 daily crimes (0.13 violent daily crimes and 1.92 daily property crimes) in Nogales.

Has Crime in Nogales Increased Since Last Year?

Examining year-over-year crime data provides insights into short-term trends with regards to the crime activity in Nogales. This analysis involves comparing crime rates from one year to the next, enabling the identification of patterns and fluctuations in crime. Such information proves invaluable to residents seeking to make well-informed decisions about their choice of residence. In the most recent year, compared to the previous one, total crime in Nogales has increased by 24.2%. Specifically, violent crime has increased by 26.3%, while property crime has increased by 24.1%. This data empowers individuals with a clearer understanding of the evolving safety landscape in Nogales.

Potential Causes for Crime in Nogales

The educational level achieved in any given city can influence crime rates significantly. Greater educational achievement is frequently associated with decreased crime rates, as it offers individuals improved job prospects and alternatives to engaging in crime related activities. Conversely, lower educational attainment rates tend to coincide with elevated crime rates. In Nogales, 58.9% of residents have successfully graduated from high school, in contrast to the national average where 83% have achieved high school graduation.

High cost of living can lead to economic stress for individuals and families, particularly those with limited financial resources. When people struggle to make ends meet due to high housing costs, healthcare expenses, or other basic necessities, they may be more inclined to engage in criminal activities, such as theft or fraud, as a means of financial survival. On the flipside, cities that have a lower cost of living, could see a reduced crime rate. In Nogales, the cost of living is 9.86% lower than the national average.

The effectiveness of law enforcement and community policing initiatives can influence crime rates. A strong and collaborative relationship between the police and the community can deter criminal activity and improve safety. In Nogales, there are 3.35 police officers and civilians per 1,000 residents, compared to the national average of 3.25. The effectiveness of law enforcement often depends on community policing strategies that emphasize building trust and cooperation between the police and the community. It's not just about the number of officers but also how they engage with the community.

Nogales crime map



The Nogales crime map provides a detailed overview of all crimes in Nogales as reported by the local law enforcement agencies. Based on the color coded legend above, the crime map outlines the areas with lower crime compared to the areas with higher crime. The Nogales crime heat map offers insight into the total crimes on a block group level. Please note that the red areas on the Nogales crime map does not always indicate that it is a dangerous area for its residents. Areas on the heat map could be inflated if they are located in high traffic areas like airports, sports centers or large parks. Other areas on the heat map could see increased crime rates if they are located in major tourist areas like the downtown core.
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Crime Quick Facts

  • Nogales crime rates are 63% higher than the national average
  • Violent crimes in Nogales are 34% lower than the national average
  • In Nogales you have a 1 in 27 chance of becoming a victim of crime
  • Nogales is safer than 40% of the cities in the United States
  • Year over year crime in Nogales has increased by 26%

Nogales, AZ Crime Quiz

     

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        Daily Crime In Nogales (per 100,000 people)

        The bar chart above reveals the rate of daily crimes in Nogales for every 100,000 residents. The Nogales total amount of daily crime is 1.53 times more than the Arizona average and 1.63 times more than than that of the nation. As for violent crimes, the daily average in Nogales, is 1.77 times less than the Arizona average, and it is 1.52 times less than the national average. The statistics for property crimes show that Nogales has a daily crime average that is 1.73 times more than the Arizona average and 1.82 times more than the daily national rate.

        How Safe is Nogales (higher is better)

        Are people any safer living in Nogales in comparison to other Arizona communities and all other areas throughout the United States? When we look at all cities across America, is Nogales safe? The evidence provided by these graphs show Nogales being safer than 45% of cities in Arizona and 40% of cities across the United States. This is evident by tracking Arizona cities as well as all US cities over a one year period to contrast crime statistics as they relate to Nogales. In conclusion, Nogales ranks below average compared to the rest of the United States.

        Chance of Being A Victim of Crime in Nogales

        The chance of being a victim of violent crime in Nogales is 1 in 411
        The chance of being a victim of property crime in Nogales is 1 in 29
        The chance of being a victim of crime in Nogales is 1 in 27
        Are you curious to know the likelihood of suffering from a crime in Nogales? If you reside in Nogales, the likelihood that you will become a victim of a violent crime is 1 in 411. Violent crimes include: murder, sexual assault, robbery, and physical assault. There is a 1 in 29 change that you will become a victim of a property crime. These sorts of crimes against personal property include: burglary, theft, and auto theft. In total, the likelihood of being victimized by a crime in Nogales, is 1 in 27.

        Year Over Year Crime In Nogales (per 100,000 people)

        Determining whether Nogales is becoming less or more safe for its residents (per 100,000) is most easily done by comparing year-over-year crime rates. Nogales violent crime rates have increased by 28%. At the same time, property crime has increased by 26% year over year. Total crimes for Nogales has increased by 26% in the same time frame.

        Nogales police department

        Item Nogales Arizona National
        Law enforcement employees (officers & civilians)7112,274558,732
        Police officers & civilians /1000 residents3.43.13.3
        There are a total of 71 Nogales police officers. This results in 3.4 police officers per 1,000 residents which is 8.1% greater than the Arizona average and 3.1% greater than the National average.

        Sex offenders in Arizona

        State Total offenders Arizona /100K National /100K
        Arizona8,206157266
        There are a total of 8,206 sex offenders in Arizona. This yields a total of 157 sex offenders in Arizona per 100,000 residents which is 41% less than the national average.

        Nearby Cities With Low Crime Rates

        City Population Violent crime/100k people Property crime/100k people Total crime/100k people
        Tumacacori-Carmen, AZ991758311,006
        Rio Rico, AZ19,9485672,7003,267
        Patagonia, AZ8236052,8833,488
        Kino Springs, AZ3026523,1083,760
        Nogales, AZ20,1822433,5543,797

        Cities with similar population

        City Population Violent crime/100k people Property crime/100k people Total crime/100k people
        Payson, UT20,18187840927
        Mountain Brook, AL20,17827940968
        Kinston, NC20,1737083,2423,950
        Wade Hampton, SC20,1924061,9102,316
        La Crescenta-Montrose, CA20,1712691,2601,529
        Nogales, AZ20,1822433,5543,797
        Source: The Nogales, AZ crime data displayed above is derived from the FBI's uniform crime reports for the year of 2022. The crime report encompasses more than 18,000 city and state law enforcement agencies reporting data on property and violent crimes. The uniform crime reports program represents approximately 309 million American residents, which results in 98% coverage of metropolitan statistical areas.