B+
38%
Total crime NAT. AVG.
44%
Violent crime NAT. AVG.
36%
Property crime NAT. AVG.
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Date & Last Updated: This data reflects the 2022 calendar year and was released from the FBI in September, 2023; this is the most current data available.
StatisticReportedincidents/100k peopleSan Juan Capistrano/100k peopleCalifornia/100k peopleNational/100k people
Total crime504n/a (estimate)1,4532,8432,324
Murder1n/a2.95.76.3
Rape1n/a2.937.440.0
Robbery10n/a28.8123.566.1
Assault60n/a172.9332.8268.2
Violent crime72n/a (estimate)208500370
Burglary98n/a282.4371.9269.8
Theft253n/a729.11,499.31,401.9
Vehicle theft81n/a233.4471.9282.7
Property crime432n/a (estimate)1,2452,3431,954

An Overview of Crime Rates in San Juan Capistrano, CA

Crime can be categorized into two primary types: violent and property crimes. Violent crimes encompass offenses such as murder, rape, robbery, and assault, whereas property crimes involve acts like burglary, theft, and vehicle theft. The overall crime rate in San Juan Capistrano is 37.5% lower than the national average. Specifically, there were 72 violent crimes reported in San Juan Capistrano, equivalent to 208 per 100,000 residents, which is lower than the national average by 43.9%. Additionally, San Juan Capistrano recorded 432 property crimes, amounting to 1245 per 100,000 people, lower than the national average by 36.3%.

What Do the Locals Say About Crime in San Juan Capistrano?

What is the prevailing sentiment among San Juan Capistrano residents regarding the state of crime? A comprehensive survey conducted by AreaVibes, involving 21 respondents, sheds light on this matter. The results were as follows: 81% of San Juan Capistrano residents expressed a notable sense of security, asserting that crime was virtually non-existent in their community, and they felt at ease strolling the streets after dark. While, 19% of those surveyed held a contrasting viewpoint, perceiving a higher incidence of crime, leading them to feel apprehensive about walking alone at night.

Is San Juan Capistrano a Safe Place to Live?

To determine if San Juan Capistrano is a safe place to live, let's take a look at the overall crime rate of the area, as well as the number of daily crimes. San Juan Capistrano has a total crime rate that is 38% lower than the national average per 100,000 residents. This results in a total of 1.38 daily crimes (0.2 violent daily crimes and 1.18 daily property crimes) in San Juan Capistrano.

Has Crime in San Juan Capistrano Increased Since Last Year?

In the most recent crime report, year-over-year crime rates in San Juan Capistrano has increased by 37.7%. Examining the change in crime rates from one year to the next provides valuable insights into the evolving safety landscape of San Juan Capistrano, aiding residents in assessing whether it is becoming a safer or more dangerous place to live. These crime rates are categorized into two primary groups: violent and property crimes. Year-over-year, violent crime has increased by 14.3%, while property crime has increased by 42.6%. This comprehensive analysis offers potential residents essential information for making informed decisions about whether or not San Juan Capistrano is a safe place to live.

Potential Causes for Crime in San Juan Capistrano

San Juan Capistrano has a poverty rate that stands at 7.8, in contrast to the national average of 15.1. Historically, a direct correlation has been observed between poverty rates and crime stats. Higher poverty rates have led to higher crime rates, while lower poverty rates have led to a reduction in San Juan Capistrano crime rates. Income disparities and heightened poverty levels can serve as catalysts for elevated or reduced criminal activity, as individuals may or may not turn to illicit means to fulfill their basic needs. This could be one of many factors that may influence crime.

San Juan Capistrano has a population density of 2493.1 people per square mile, contrasting with the national average of 90.6 people per square mile. High population density cities are often large urban hubs teeming with diverse economic opportunities. Within these environments, income disparities can become pronounced, leading to higher poverty levels. This economic divide may contribute to an uptick in property crimes and, occasionally, violent crimes. In contrast, areas characterized by low population density typically exhibit lower San Juan Capistrano crime rates.

In San Juan Capistrano, the median home price stands at $760,400, diverging from the national average of $184,700. Elevated housing costs often induce financial strain among residents. When individuals grapple with the challenges of affording housing, they may find themselves compelled to resort to criminal activities as a means of addressing their financial hardships, including acts like theft or fraud. This predicament is particularly pronounced in areas where housing affordability poses a persistent issue, giving rise to heightened concerns regarding crime. In such instances, some individuals and families may find themselves constrained to reside in cramped or subpar housing conditions, exacerbating stress levels and potentially fostering domestic disputes and associated criminal incidents.

San Juan Capistrano crime map



The San Juan Capistrano crime map provides a detailed overview of all crimes in San Juan Capistrano as reported by the local law enforcement agencies. Based on the color coded legend above, the crime map outlines the areas with lower crime compared to the areas with higher crime. The San Juan Capistrano crime heat map offers insight into the total crimes on a block group level. Please note that the red areas on the San Juan Capistrano crime map does not always indicate that it is a dangerous area for its residents. Areas on the heat map could be inflated if they are located in high traffic areas like airports, sports centers or large parks. Other areas on the heat map could see increased crime rates if they are located in major tourist areas like the downtown core.
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Crime Quick Facts

  • San Juan Capistrano crime rates are 38% lower than the national average
  • Violent crimes in San Juan Capistrano are 44% lower than the national average
  • In San Juan Capistrano you have a 1 in 69 chance of becoming a victim of crime
  • San Juan Capistrano is safer than 53% of the cities in the United States
  • Year over year crime in San Juan Capistrano has increased by 43%

San Juan Capistrano, CA Crime Quiz

     

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        Daily Crime In San Juan Capistrano (per 100,000 people)

        The graph above looks at the comparison of crimes committed in San Juan Capistrano on a daily basis (per 100,000 people) to crimes committed throughout the state of California and the USA. According to the latest crime statistics, daily crimes in San Juan Capistrano (which include property crimes as well as violent crimes), when compared to California, are 1.96 times less than the state average and 1.60 times less than than national average. Violent crimes committed in San Juan Capistrano on a daily basis are 2.41 times less than than California average and 1.78 times less than the average nationwide. Daily property crime rates in San Juan Capistrano are 1.88 times less than the daily state average and 1.57 times less than the daily national numbers.

        How Safe is San Juan Capistrano (higher is better)

        Compared to the other cities in California and all other cities across the US, is San Juan Capistrano safe? From the gauges displayed above, you will notice that San Juan Capistrano is safer than 80% of other cities in the state of California. In addition, San Juan Capistrano is safer than 53% of cities in the entire United States. To achieve these results, all California and United States cities were analyzed to determine how many locations had a lower crime rate than San Juan Capistrano. By studying this data, it was possible to determine that San Juan Capistrano is above average in safety when compared with other United States cities.

        Chance of Being A Victim of Crime in San Juan Capistrano

        The chance of being a victim of violent crime in San Juan Capistrano is 1 in 482
        The chance of being a victim of property crime in San Juan Capistrano is 1 in 81
        The chance of being a victim of crime in San Juan Capistrano is 1 in 69
        Interested in knowing the odds that you will be a crime victim in San Juan Capistrano? In San Juan Capistrano, you have a 1 in 482 chance of falling victim to a violent crime, such as rape, robbery, assault, or even murder. In terms of property crime, your chances of being a victim are 1 in 81. These crimes include theft, vehicle theft, and burglary. Your overall chance of being a victim of crime in San Juan Capistrano, CA is 1 in 69.

        Year Over Year Crime In San Juan Capistrano (per 100,000 people)

        An ideal indicator of whether San Juan Capistrano is becoming a safer or more dangerous place to live can be done by analyzing the year over year crime rates per 100,000 people. Year over year violent crime in San Juan Capistrano has increased by 19% and the rate of property crime in San Juan Capistrano has increased by 48%. The total crime rate in San Juan Capistrano has increased by 43% year to year.

        San Juan Capistrano police department

        Item San Juan Capistrano California National
        Law enforcement employees (officers & civilians)n/a51,506558,732
        Police officers & civilians /1000 residentsn/a3.63.3

        Sex offenders in California

        State Total offenders California /100K National /100K
        California79,891232266
        There are a total of 79,891 sex offenders in California. This yields a total of 232 sex offenders in California per 100,000 residents which is 13% less than the national average.

        Nearby Cities With Low Crime Rates

        City Population Violent crime/100k people Property crime/100k people Total crime/100k people
        Rancho Santa Margarita, CA48,28038469508
        Laguna Woods, CA16,05623522545
        Aliso Viejo, CA50,38585682767
        Las Flores, CA5,089163762925
        Coto de Caza, CA15,5091908931,083
        Laguna Niguel, CA65,048951,0451,140
        Lake Forest, CA84,6661221,0541,176
        San Juan Capistrano, CA35,9762081,2451,453

        Cities with similar population

        City Population Violent crime/100k people Property crime/100k people Total crime/100k people
        Panama City, FL35,9526782,9083,586
        Manchester, CT35,9461642,5852,749
        Marion, OH36,0112261,7752,001
        Franklin, WI36,013441,3381,382
        Lauderdale Lakes, FL36,0634042,4442,848
        San Juan Capistrano, CA35,9762081,2451,453
        Source: The San Juan Capistrano, CA crime data displayed above is derived from the FBI's uniform crime reports for the year of 2022. The crime report encompasses more than 18,000 city and state law enforcement agencies reporting data on property and violent crimes. The uniform crime reports program represents approximately 309 million American residents, which results in 98% coverage of metropolitan statistical areas.