| Statistic | Reportedincidents | /100k people | San Juan Capistrano/100k people | California/100k people | National/100k people |
| Total crime | 504 | n/a (estimate) | 1,453 | 2,843 | 2,324 |
| Murder | 1 | n/a | 2.9 | 5.7 | 6.3 |
| Rape | 1 | n/a | 2.9 | 37.4 | 40.0 |
| Robbery | 10 | n/a | 28.8 | 123.5 | 66.1 |
| Assault | 60 | n/a | 172.9 | 332.8 | 268.2 |
| Violent crime | 72 | n/a (estimate) | 208 | 500 | 370 |
| Burglary | 98 | n/a | 282.4 | 371.9 | 269.8 |
| Theft | 253 | n/a | 729.1 | 1,499.3 | 1,401.9 |
| Vehicle theft | 81 | n/a | 233.4 | 471.9 | 282.7 |
| Property crime | 432 | n/a (estimate) | 1,245 | 2,343 | 1,954 |
Crime can be categorized into two primary types: violent and property crimes. Violent crimes encompass offenses such as murder, rape, robbery, and assault, whereas property crimes involve acts like burglary, theft, and vehicle theft. The overall crime rate in San Juan Capistrano is 37.5% lower than the national average. Specifically, there were 72 violent crimes reported in San Juan Capistrano, equivalent to 208 per 100,000 residents, which is lower than the national average by 43.9%. Additionally, San Juan Capistrano recorded 432 property crimes, amounting to 1245 per 100,000 people, lower than the national average by 36.3%.
What is the prevailing sentiment among San Juan Capistrano residents regarding the state of crime? A comprehensive survey conducted by AreaVibes, involving 21 respondents, sheds light on this matter. The results were as follows: 81% of San Juan Capistrano residents expressed a notable sense of security, asserting that crime was virtually non-existent in their community, and they felt at ease strolling the streets after dark. While, 19% of those surveyed held a contrasting viewpoint, perceiving a higher incidence of crime, leading them to feel apprehensive about walking alone at night.
To determine if San Juan Capistrano is a safe place to live, let's take a look at the overall crime rate of the area, as well as the number of daily crimes. San Juan Capistrano has a total crime rate that is 38% lower than the national average per 100,000 residents. This results in a total of 1.38 daily crimes (0.2 violent daily crimes and 1.18 daily property crimes) in San Juan Capistrano.
In the most recent crime report, year-over-year crime rates in San Juan Capistrano has increased by 37.7%. Examining the change in crime rates from one year to the next provides valuable insights into the evolving safety landscape of San Juan Capistrano, aiding residents in assessing whether it is becoming a safer or more dangerous place to live. These crime rates are categorized into two primary groups: violent and property crimes. Year-over-year, violent crime has increased by 14.3%, while property crime has increased by 42.6%. This comprehensive analysis offers potential residents essential information for making informed decisions about whether or not San Juan Capistrano is a safe place to live.
San Juan Capistrano has a poverty rate that stands at 7.8, in contrast to the national average of 15.1. Historically, a direct correlation has been observed between poverty rates and crime stats. Higher poverty rates have led to higher crime rates, while lower poverty rates have led to a reduction in San Juan Capistrano crime rates. Income disparities and heightened poverty levels can serve as catalysts for elevated or reduced criminal activity, as individuals may or may not turn to illicit means to fulfill their basic needs. This could be one of many factors that may influence crime.
San Juan Capistrano has a population density of 2493.1 people per square mile, contrasting with the national average of 90.6 people per square mile. High population density cities are often large urban hubs teeming with diverse economic opportunities. Within these environments, income disparities can become pronounced, leading to higher poverty levels. This economic divide may contribute to an uptick in property crimes and, occasionally, violent crimes. In contrast, areas characterized by low population density typically exhibit lower San Juan Capistrano crime rates.
In San Juan Capistrano, the median home price stands at $760,400, diverging from the national average of $184,700. Elevated housing costs often induce financial strain among residents. When individuals grapple with the challenges of affording housing, they may find themselves compelled to resort to criminal activities as a means of addressing their financial hardships, including acts like theft or fraud. This predicament is particularly pronounced in areas where housing affordability poses a persistent issue, giving rise to heightened concerns regarding crime. In such instances, some individuals and families may find themselves constrained to reside in cramped or subpar housing conditions, exacerbating stress levels and potentially fostering domestic disputes and associated criminal incidents.
| Item | San Juan Capistrano | California | National |
| Law enforcement employees (officers & civilians) | n/a | 51,506 | 558,732 |
| Police officers & civilians /1000 residents | n/a | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| State | Total offenders | California /100K | National /100K |
| California | 79,891 | 232 | 266 |
| City | Population | Violent crime/100k people | Property crime/100k people | Total crime/100k people |
| Rancho Santa Margarita, CA | 48,280 | 38 | 469 | 508 |
| Laguna Woods, CA | 16,056 | 23 | 522 | 545 |
| Aliso Viejo, CA | 50,385 | 85 | 682 | 767 |
| Las Flores, CA | 5,089 | 163 | 762 | 925 |
| Coto de Caza, CA | 15,509 | 190 | 893 | 1,083 |
| Laguna Niguel, CA | 65,048 | 95 | 1,045 | 1,140 |
| Lake Forest, CA | 84,666 | 122 | 1,054 | 1,176 |
| San Juan Capistrano, CA | 35,976 | 208 | 1,245 | 1,453 |
| City | Population | Violent crime/100k people | Property crime/100k people | Total crime/100k people |
| Panama City, FL | 35,952 | 678 | 2,908 | 3,586 |
| Manchester, CT | 35,946 | 164 | 2,585 | 2,749 |
| Marion, OH | 36,011 | 226 | 1,775 | 2,001 |
| Franklin, WI | 36,013 | 44 | 1,338 | 1,382 |
| Lauderdale Lakes, FL | 36,063 | 404 | 2,444 | 2,848 |
| San Juan Capistrano, CA | 35,976 | 208 | 1,245 | 1,453 |
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